The Limits of Diversification
“To reduce risk it is necessary to avoid a portfolio whose securities are all highly correlated” — Harry Markowitz
3 min read
The Limits of Diversification
“To reduce risk it is necessary to avoid a portfolio whose securities are all highly correlated” — Harry Markowitz
3 min read
Diversification is often cited as one of the most important principles in successful investing, and history has generally supported that view.
By spreading investments across different assets, sectors, regions, and economic drivers, diversification helps reduce concentration risk and avoids excessive reliance on any single investment outcome.
However, diversification is not designed to eliminate risk altogether.
During periods of significant market stress, investments that would normally behave differently can respond in a similar way due to the same underlying pressures.
This is known as correlation risk.
What is correlation risk?
Correlation risk is the danger that assets, strategies, or economic factors may become more closely linked than expected, reducing the benefits of diversification and increasing potential losses during market downturns.
When two investments are highly correlated, they tend to rise and fall at similar times. When correlation is low, their returns are more independent of one another.
The challenge for investors is that correlations are not fixed and can change significantly over time. Assets that appear well diversified during normal market conditions may become increasingly correlated during periods of economic uncertainty or market stress, reducing the protection that diversification would otherwise be expected to provide.
When markets move together
Periods of rising correlation do not mean diversification has become ineffective. Rather, they reflect the fact that many investments are ultimately influenced by a number of the same underlying economic and market forces.
During periods of heightened volatility, investors often reassess risk across large parts of the market simultaneously. This can result in broad selling across multiple asset classes, sectors, and regions, even where the underlying fundamentals remain different.
As a result, investments that would normally exhibit lower levels of correlation can begin moving more closely together, particularly over shorter periods.
Many growth-oriented investments ultimately share common drivers including:
- Economic growth
- Corporate profitability
- Interest rates
- Investor confidence
- Liquidity conditions
When these factors deteriorate, many growth assets can come under pressure at the same time.
However, this does not mean all investments are exposed to identical risks to the same degree. Even within equity markets, different regions, sectors, and companies are influenced by different economic conditions, valuations, competitive advantages, and long-term growth drivers.
Why diversification still matters
Equities have historically been one of the primary drivers of long-term capital growth. Consequently, accepting some degree of correlation risk is often an unavoidable aspect of seeking higher long-term returns.
The aim is not to eliminate correlation risk altogether. Instead, it is to reduce unnecessary concentration by spreading exposure across a broad range of investments, regions, sectors, and economic drivers.
For example, a portfolio invested entirely in large US technology companies may deliver strong returns during favourable market conditions. However, it would also be heavily exposed to developments affecting a relatively narrow part of the market.
By contrast, a globally diversified growth portfolio spreads exposure across different countries, industries, companies, and sources of return. While many of the underlying investments may still be influenced by the broader forces affecting equity markets, the portfolio is not solely dependent on a single sector, region, or economic outcome.
In practice, diversification often involves combining investments across a range of asset classes and markets, including:
- Developed market equities
- Emerging market equities
- Government bonds
- Corporate bonds
- Cash
- Property and infrastructure
- Other real assets
These assets may not always move independently, particularly during periods of market stress. However, they can respond differently over longer periods of time and under different economic conditions, which is why diversification remains a key part of portfolio construction.
Structuring portfolios for long-term resilience
Correlation risk reminds investors that markets are constantly evolving. Relationships between investments that appear stable during one period may look very different when economic conditions, investor sentiment, interest rates, or geopolitical events change.
For this reason, portfolio construction should not rely solely on how investments have behaved in the past. Consideration must also be given to the underlying drivers of returns and how different investments may respond under a range of future market conditions.
At Patterson Mills, we work with clients to build portfolios that seek to balance long-term growth objectives with effective risk management. While no portfolio can eliminate market risk entirely, careful diversification, regular review, and disciplined portfolio construction can help investors remain resilient in an environment where market relationships are rarely static.
If you would like to review whether your current investments remain appropriately diversified and aligned with your long-term objectives, contactez-nous with us today and book your initial, no-cost and no-obligation meeting.
Send us an e-mail to contactus@pattersonmills.ch or call us direct at +41 21 801 36 84 and we shall be pleased to assist you.
Please note that all content within this article has been prepared for information purposes only. This article does not constitute financial, legal or tax advice. Always ensure you speak to a regulated Financial Adviser before making any financial decisions.