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Investments

How to Assess Investment Risk

How to Assess Investment Risk

“The essence of investment management is the management of risks, not the management of returns” — Benjamin Graham 

3 min read

Managing Investment Risk

How to Assess Investment Risk

“The essence of investment management is the management of risks, not the management of returns” — Benjamin Graham 

3 min read

Investing always involves some level of risk, you know this.

Long-term success comes from understanding and managing that risk rather than trying to avoid it entirely.

Whether you are building wealth, planning for retirement, or preserving capital, assessing risk appropriately is the cornerstone of any sound investment strategy.

But, how do you do it? How do you assess risk in a way that enables you to invest appropriately to achieve your goals? You are in the right place to found out! Read on below.

Know the key types of risk 

To start making progress, you first need to understand the key types of investment risk. It comes in many forms, and different types of risk affect different parts of your portfolio.

Remember, no investment is risk-free.

Recognising where these risks lie is the first step in managing them effectively. 

You can read more about risk on our dedicated page: Investing and Risk.

Market (systematic) risk  

Refers to the potential for broad economic factors to affect the value of your investments, such as inflation, interest rates, or geopolitical events. These are typically areas that you have no control over (with the exception being if you are in a government or policy decision making position).

Company-specific (unsystematic) risk  

This arises when individual shares or bonds underperform due to issues specific to that organisation.

Currency risk 

If you hold investments in foreign currencies, changes in exchange rates can impact the value of your returns. Even if the underlying asset performs well, currency movements can either amplify gains or reduce them.

Liquidity risk 

This is the risk of not being able to sell an investment quickly without significantly affecting its price. Assets that are less liquid may be harder to convert into cash when needed, particularly in volatile markets. The most popular example here being a property sale that could take months or years.

Legislative risk 

Changes in laws, regulations, or tax rules can impact investments. For example, a change in capital gains tax rates or pension legislation could alter the attractiveness or outcome of a particular strategy.

A well-diversified approach can help manage these risks more effectively over time.

Understand your risk tolerance and capacity for loss

Risk tolerance is your emotional comfort with the ups and downs of investing (the ‘investment rollercoaster’). It reflects how well you cope with seeing the value of your investments fluctuate (‘volatility’).

Some investors are comfortable with high levels of volatility if it means the potential for long-term growth, while others prefer more stable journeys even if the overall returns might be lower.

Capacity for loss, on the other hand, is your financial ability to absorb a downturn without it affecting your existing lifestyle. It is not about how you feel, but about for what your situation allows.

For example, how much value can your investments lose before you can no longer continue your lifestyle in its current state? Can you lose 10% and live normally? 20%? 30%? Perhaps you are you able to sell other assets to make up for the shortfall?

In simple terms, the larger loss you are able to absorb, the higher your capacity for loss (and the reverse is also true).

This means that you may not be in a position to take on significant investment risk, even if you feel emotionally confident doing so.

Risk tolerance and capacity for loss should be considered in tandem. Simply being comfortable investing in 100% equity does not necessarily mean it is appropriate if your financial circumstances cannot support the potential volatility.

Your portfolio should reflect both your mindset and your real-world limitations.

Align risk with your goals and time horizon

Investments are best tailored to your objectives. If your goal is to preserve capital for a short-term purchase, a high-growth equity strategy is unlikely to be appropriate.

Conversely, if your goal is to grow wealth over 15 to 20-years, holding too much in low-risk, low-return assets (cash for example) can be a risk in itself.

Matching the level of investment risk to your time horizon is a key part of maintaining discipline through market cycles. 

Diversify across asset classes and sectors 

Diversification is one of the most effective ways to manage investment risk. By spreading your assets across equities, bonds, property, and alternatives (further diversifying across regions and sectors), you can reduce the impact of poor performance in any single area.

Naturally, this is with the hope that the better performing assets increase by more than the poor performing assets decrease.

A well-diversified portfolio does not eliminate risk, but it does reduce the likelihood of significant losses from any one event or trend.  If the economy is crashing and every asset class is falling, you will make losses.

Review regularly and adjust when needed 

Now you have a basic understanding of the key factors at play when managing risk, you should know that it is not a “set and forget” exercise. Your financial situation, goals, and attitude towards risk are likely to change over time.

Reviewing your investment strategy periodically helps to keep your risk level consistent and remain aligned with your evolving needs, preferences and market conditions.

Luckily, such reviews are part and parcel of our service at Patterson Mills. You do not have to do it alone, get in touch with us today by e-mail to contactus@pattersonmills.ch or call +41 (0) 21 801 36 84 and we shall be pleased to assist you.

Please note that all content within this article has been prepared for information purposes only. This article does not constitute financial, legal or tax advice. Always ensure you speak to a regulated Financial Adviser before making any financial decisions.

Categories
Investments

Investments Go Down (As Well As Up)

Investments Go Down (As Well As Up)

“It has been quite a rollercoaster ride, but one that I’ve enjoyed” ― Bez

3 min read

Investments Go Down As Well As Up

Investments Go Down (As Well As Up)

“It has been quite a rollercoaster ride, but one that I’ve enjoyed” ― Bez

3 min read

Investing is marked by highs and lows, peaks of prosperity and valleys of decline. At the heart of this rollercoaster ride lies a simple truth: investments can go down just as swiftly as they can rise. It’s a fundamental reality that every investor, from the novice to the seasoned, must come to terms with when navigating their investments.

The Market's Downturns: A Normal Occurrence

Market downturns are inherent to the investment landscape. They are regular events that halt the upward trajectory of the financial markets. These downturns shouldn’t surprise you; rather, they are to be expected in the cyclical nature of markets.

These periods of decline can stem from various factors, including economic shifts, geopolitical events, or sector-specific challenges. However, it’s crucial to grasp that market fluctuations, both upward and downward, are a fundamental aspect of the investment ecosystem.

Typically Your Investments Do Recover

Investing isn’t just about numbers on a screen; it’s deeply intertwined with human psychology. During periods of market turbulence, fear can grip you, clouding rational decision-making. The instinct to sell and salvage what’s left can be compelling, driven by the fear of further losses. However, reacting impulsively to market volatility often leads to selling at a low point, crystallising losses, and missing potential recoveries.

History has repeatedly shown that panic-driven selling in the face of market downturns tends to be counterproductive. Emotional reactions to short-term fluctuations can derail long-term financial strategies. It’s crucial to recognise that markets, although prone to short-term volatility, have historically recovered from downturns. Selling in a panic only crystallises losses, locking in the decline without affording the opportunity to recover when markets bounce back – a pattern that can substantially impact long-term wealth-building goals.

Staying the Course in Volatile Markets

Navigating market fluctuations requires a steady hand and a long-term perspective. History has consistently shown that despite periodic downturns, the market tends to rebound, demonstrating resilience over time. Investors who remain patient and stay invested through the storms tend to reap the benefits of eventual market recoveries.

Studies have shown that attempting to time the market by selling during downturns and re-entering when conditions seem favourable often results in missed opportunities for recovery. It’s essential to recognise that attempting to predict short-term market movements is a challenging and unreliable strategy.

Instead of succumbing to fear-induced reactions, maintaining a steadfast commitment to your investment strategy is crucial. Stay focused on your long-term financial goals and the strategic plan established with your Patterson Mills Financial Adviser. Review your portfolio periodically to ensure alignment with your objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon.

En Route to Success

At Patterson Mills, we prioritise ensuring our clients are aware of market cycles, the risk they are taking and the importance of staying the course during turbulent times. We provide personalised guidance to help you understand the implications of market volatility on your investments and devise strategies to navigate through these periods. Our goal is to give you the knowledge and confidence needed to make informed decisions, ensuring that you remain steadfast in your investment portfolio, even amidst market uncertainties.

So, get in touch with us today and book your initial, no-cost and no-obligation meeting, you will be pleased that you did. Send us an e-mail to info@pattersonmills.ch or call us direct at +41 21 801 36 84 and we shall be pleased to assist you.

Please note that all information within this article has been prepared for informational purposes only. This article does not constitute financial, legal or tax advice. Always ensure you speak to a regulated Financial Adviser before making any financial decisions.

Categories
Investments

Secrets of Wealthy Investors: How They Beat Investment Risks

Secrets of Wealthy Investors: How They Beat Investment Risks

“Although it’s easy to forget sometimes, a share is not a lottery ticket… it’s part-ownership of a business” — Peter Lynch

3 min read

Secrets of Wealthy Investors: How They Beat Investment Risks

“Although it’s easy to forget sometimes, a share is not a lottery ticket… it’s part-ownership of a business” — Peter Lynch

3 min read

Whilst investing offers the perceived promise of financial growth and security, it also comes with its own set of challenges and uncertainties. At the heart of this financial adventure lies the concept of investment risk, an ever-present companion that can shape the outcome of your financial future.

Investment risk is not a monolithic entity; rather, it encompasses a diverse range of factors and variables that can influence the performance of your investments. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting to explore the world of finance, understanding the intricacies of investment risk is paramount.

In this article, we’ll take you through the world of investment risk so that you can gain a deeper understanding of the risks that accompany investments and the tools to make informed decisions to protect and (with careful planning!) grow your wealth.

Considering Investment Risk

Market risk is what most investors “see” and is therefore most easily understood. Market risk is a systemic risk, with the risk being that a chosen investment loses its value due to economic events that affect the entire market.

Not all risks are necessarily “bad”: it depends how it is transposed into the real world as against the make-up of your investments at any given time.

Below you will find the main types of market risk.

Equity Risk

Equity risk pertains to the investment in shares. The market price of shares is volatile and keeps on increasing or decreasing based on various factors. Thus, equity risk is the drop in the market price of the shares at moments in time where adverse market risks have occurred.

Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate risk applies to the debt securities such as Government or Corporate Bonds. Interest rates affect the debt securities negatively i.e., the market value of the debt securities increases if the interest rates decrease.

Currency Risk

Currency risk pertains to foreign exchange investments. The risk of losing money on foreign exchange investments because of movement in the exchange rates is currency risk. For example, if the US dollar depreciates to the Swiss Franc, the investment in US dollars will be of less value in Swiss Franc. The converse is true should the Swiss Franc depreciate instead.

Volatility Risk

This is the risk-reward measure in securities comparative performance. Traditionally, higher returns are generated with higher swings in asset values of time (i.e. of a greater standard deviation measured over a given period). The price / value swings over time are generally of a greater standard deviation mathematically for the greatest returns.

However, real value is found in identifying returns from investment mixes that provide returns that are over and above that which is applicable on average for the standard deviation of that mix. This combination would mean the returns are generated by higher quality management, whether through investment selection and diversification, lower cost base or a combination of these factors.

Inflation Risk

Rising prices of goods and services, ‘inflation’, eats away the returns and lowers the purchasing power of money, literally as if it goes up in smoke! The return on investments needs to be greater than the rate of inflation for an investor.

Cash deposits are often paying interest at a rate close to (or often below) current inflation. This means the future buying power of existing cash deposits will quite probably be less in future years.

The most likely way of avoiding inflation risk is to take a long-term approach to money and invest anything over and above short-term needs not already covered, into real assets. These are assets such as:

  • Real property – commercial in nature, accessed by way of REITS, OEICs and listed property entities (e.g. Land Securities)
  • Government or Corporate bonds
  • Alternative investments, potentially including absolute return funds, hedge funds and private equity
  • Commodities (using financial Options, with an active approach to use of ETF / ETN funds)
  • Equities (listed company shares)

Other Outlying Risks

There are a plethora of other types of risk. Seeking to be as succinct as possible, these risks include:

  • Liquidity risk
  • Concentration risk
  • Credit risk
  • Re-investment risk
  • Horizon risk
  • Longevity risk
  • Foreign investment risk

Management and Control of Risk

Despite the risks involved with investing money, here is how these risks can be managed and controlled within reasonable parameters. The key methods of managing risks include:

Diversification

Diversification includes spreading investment into various assets like stocks, bonds, and real property. This helps an investor gain from other investments if some do not perform over a period. Diversification is achieved across different assets and also within the assets (e.g., investing across various sectors when investing in property types or specific equities, for example) and investment managers.

Monitoring, Reviewing and Updating

The monitoring is vital, as part of the ongoing assessment as to the validity of the investment strategy decided upon at outset.

The reviewing is a key part to ensuring that both the investor’s financial objectives, the financial performance and outlook remain aligned as expected and, if not, examining why and confirming what actions should be taken to address any shortcomings.

The updating is necessary to be cognisant of any changing objectives, implementing amendments to the asset mix, risk levels or investment selections as agreed from the outcome of each review.

Investing for the Long Term

Long-term investments provide higher returns than short-term investments.

Although there is short-term volatility in the asset values of real investments, history shows that, as compared to cash, the gain when invested over a longer horizon (5, 10, 20 years or more) have been far in excess of both cash and price inflation.

The longer the time horizon, the more likely it has been shown for the invested funds to create excess returns for the investor. Time horizon is a key factor in the decision as to how to split your investment portfolio between the broad asset classes. It is important to note that each asset class has a plethora of sub-asset classes.

Your Financial Success is Our Priority

Navigating the complexities of investment risk requires not only knowledge but also guidance. It is here that Patterson Mills stands as your steadfast partner on the path to financial security. Our expert team is committed to helping you make informed investment decisions, mitigate risks, and secure your financial future.

Don’t let uncertainty hold you back from realising your goals. , get in touch to book your initial, no-cost and no-obligation meeting. Or, send us an e-mail to info@pattersonmills.ch or call us direct at +41 21 801 36 84 and we shall be pleased to assist you.